Cardiac Risk Analysis

Cardiac Risk Analysis

Estimate Your Risk For Developing Heart Disease in the Next 10 Years
Do It Yourself Using the Tables Below OR Calculate It Using a RISK CALCULATOR

The information presented below is based on data gathered over a 50 year period from the Framingham Heart Study; a research project to study the causes of heart disease

Step 1: Find your points based on your Age, Blood Pressure, LDL and HDL Cholesterol, and whether you Smoke or have Diabetes

AGE

Age	M	F
30-34	-1	-9
35-39	0	-4
40-44	1	0
45-49	2	3
50-54	3	6
55-59	4	7
60-64	5	8
65-69	6	8
70-74	7	9

DO YOU HAVE DIABETES?

	M	F
YES	2	4
NO	0	0

CHOLESTEROL

LDL Cholesterol

	M	F
<100	-3	-2
100-129	0	0
130-159	0	0
160-189	1	2
>189	2	2

HDL Cholesterol

	M	F
<35	2	5
35-44	1	2
45-49	0	1
50-59	0	0
>59	-1	-3

DO YOU SMOKE?

	M	F
YES	2	2
NO	0	0

Blood Pressure

	M	F
<120/<80	0	-3
120-129/80-84	0	0
130-139/85-89	1	0
140-159/90-99	2	2
>159/>99	3	3

Step 2: Add up your points for Age, LDL-Cholesterol, HDL-Cholesterol, Blood Pressure, Smoking & Diabetes

Age
LDL-Cholesterol
HDL-Cholesterol
Blood Pressure
Diabetes
Smoking
TOTAL POINTS

Step 3: Find Your Risk Level Based on Your Point Total

Total Points	<-2	-2	-1	0	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	>17
%Risk Male	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	7	8	10	13	17	21	26	32	38	46	54	54	54	54
%Risk Female	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	11	12	14	16	20	22	25	30

Your Framingham Risk for developing Heart Disease including a Heart Attack over the next 10 years is denoted by the %RISK Male or Female corresponding to your Total Points Score

Step 4: Compare Your Risk to Others. For comparison purposes, Low Risk is the risk of developing heart disease within the next 10 years for a Man or Woman of the same age with normal blood pressure and cholesterol who does not smoke or have diabetes

COMPARATIVE RISK

MALES
AGE	AVERAGE RISK	LOW RISK
30-34	3%	2%
35-39	5%	3%
40-44	7%	4%
45-49	11%	4%
50-54	14%	6%
55-59	16%	7%
60-64	21%	9%
65-69	25%	11%
70-74	30%	14%

FEMALES
AGE	AVERAGE RISK	LOW RISK
30-34	<1%	<1%
35-39	1%	<1%
40-44	2%	2%
45-49	5%	3%
50-54	8%	5%
55-59	12%	7%
60-64	12%	8%
65-69	13%	8%
70-74	14%	8%

Note that there is no risk estimate for patients < 30 or older than 74 because this analysis is based on real data collected from Framingham

Risk factors for developing heart disease can be changed and modified. See your doctor for further details. To decrease your risk of heart disease, remember to:

Lose Weight
Exercise Regularly
Stop Smoking
Control Diabetes and Blood Pressure
Eat Less Fat and Cholesterol

Adapted from The Framingham Heart Study
Wilson et al, Circulation 1998;97:1837

www.nhlbi.nih.gov/about/Framingham/index.html

Here is Another Risk Calculator Based on Framingham Data. This one differs because it uses your TOTAL CHOLESTEROL, asks only for your SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE, but also asks if you have an ENLARGED HEART. This calculator is based on the KUMC Health Assessment.

RISK CALCULATOR

Sex:	M	F
Age in Years?
TOTAL Cholesterol?
HDL Cholesterol?
SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE (the top number)?
SMOKE CIGARETTES?	Yes	No
DIABETES?	Yes	No
Do you have evidence of an ENLARGED HEART (LVH)?	Yes	No

RESULTS

Risk of Developing Heart Disease
Over the next 5 Years
Over the next 10 Years

The Average Risk for Developing Heart Disease for a Person of Your Age and Sex:

Based on Data from the Framingham Heart Study and the KUMC Risk Calculator