To receive immediate notification of research
updates, enter your e-mail address here (ex: name@domain.com):
|
|
May 13, 1999
AMBI Inc. (NASDAQ: AMBI) RECOMMENDATION: BUY
AMBI Reports Strong Growth in Revenues, Earnings and
Cash Flow; Momentum is Building; Reiterating BUY Recommendation
Market Data:
Exchange Symbol.....................AMBI (NASDAQ)
Price of Common Stock (05/12/99)............$1.78
30-Day Average Trading Volume.............141,000
Shares Outstanding.........................28.8mm
52-Week High/Low.....................$2.00 /$0.62
|
AMBI Corporate Information:
Address.....................4 Manhattanville Road
..............................Purchase, NY 10577
Telephone............................914-701-4500
President & CEO..................Fredric D. Price
VP Finance & Admin., CFO........Gerald A. Shapiro
|
Recent Financial Results
Earlier this week, AMBI reported very strong financial results:
$7.4 million in revenues (38% quarter-over-quarter growth), $1.2 million
in net income (128% quarter-over-quarter growth), and $2.1 million in EBITDA.
The increase in EBITDA and net income is particularly impressive given increased
SG&A expenses in support of the planned launches of AMBIs CardiaNutrition
e-commerce business and the Hearts Content catalog business later
this year. Despite six consecutive quarters of revenue and earnings growth,
and a strong track-record of delivering on corporate milestones (be they
corporate partnerships, strategic acquisitions, new products, etc.), we
believe AMBI is still significantly undervalued versus its peer group, and
we are reiterating our BUY recommendation.
- Strong Financial Results: AMBI has consistently
posted solid growth in revenues, cash flow and earnings. We believe
that the Company is well positioned to continue this trend in its last
fiscal 1999 quarter (ending June 30, 1999) and in fiscal 2000. To supplement
strong growth through current distribution channels for its products
(including the QVC shopping channel), AMBI is preparing to launch its
e-commerce website, www.CardiaNutrition.com,
and its Hearts Content catalog business later this year. We think
AMBIs products are particularly well-suited for the Internet,
and expect strong interest and business generation through this channel.
- Outperforming the Nutritional Foods/Products
Sector: AMBIs ability to post quarter after quarter of
strong financials is a significant achievement particularly in
the nutritional foods/products sector which has been underperforming
recently. We attribute AMBIs success to several factors: (1) truly
proprietary products (i.e. patented products), addressing significant
nutritional needs in cardiovascular and diabetic markets, (2) clinical
trials demonstrating safety and efficacy, and (3) a management team
that delivers (see below). And dont forget that AMBI has been
able to attract strong corporate partners - American Home Products and
QVC - that validate the Companys strategy.
- Strong Management Team: AMBIs management
team delivers on milestones. SmallCaps Online has covered AMBI
since October 14, 1998 when we initiated coverage with a BUY recommendation
at $0.81. Since that time, AMBIs management has delivered on every
corporate milestone that it said it would be it corporate partnerships
(American Home Products, Cultor Food Science), acquisitions (Lite Bites
which also included a relationship with QVC, on the heels of
the very successful Nutrition 21 acquisition), financial milestones
(smartly financing acquisitions, cleaning up outstanding convertible
preferred shares) and achieving consistent growth in revenues and earnings.
AMBIs management is now saying it will (1) launch an e-commerce
business, (2) launch a catalog business, (3) continue to post strong
growth in revenue and earnings, and (4) evaluate additional accretive
acquisitions. Based on past achievements, we have reason to believe
AMBIs management will continue to deliver.
- Momentum Is Building: AMBIs stock
has performed well recently, with daily turnover increasing, and we
believe its poised for continued appreciation. The stock was recently
picked up by a leading investment bank with a highly-regarded research
analyst covering the nutritional products sector, and we believe that
this undervalued stock will now attract some of the more aggressive
institutional investors.
Risk Considerations
This section of the document is provided to remind potential
investors to undertake a prudent level of due diligence prior to making
an investment in the securities of AMBI Inc. For a complete description
of risks and uncertainties to AMBIs business, see the "Risk Factors"
section in AMBIs Registration Statement and Prospectus dated May 12,
1998, which can be accessed directly from the SEC Edgar filings at www.SEC.gov
on the internet. Other potential risks include:
- Market risk: Investors should consider technical
risks common to many small-cap or micro-cap stock investments, including
liquidity levels, small float, risk of dilution, dependence upon key
personnel, dependence upon single products or technologies, and the
strength of competitors that may be larger, better capitalized and hold
dominant market positions.
- Business risk: AMBI has limited experience in
the manufacturing, marketing, and the distribution of nutritional products.
Many of its products are in the early stage of commercialization, and
in early-stage development. Additionally, AMBI intends to grow its business
through acquisition of products and businesses. There can be no assurance
that these acquisitions will materialize, be completed, be successfully
integrated and/or achieve the desired levels of revenues or profitability
as expected.
- Regulatory risk: The regulatory environment
of the nutritional products business is evolving. Although most view
these changes as beneficial to the industry in general, certain Federal
regulations, including the DSHEA, and state regulations could impose
manufacturing and marketing practices (such as GMP or additional labeling
requirements) that could add additional costs, be difficult to comply
with, and negatively impact margins.
- Competitive risk: The nutritional industry is
extremely competitive, and many perceive the barriers to entry to be
low. Added competition could lead to price competition and lower margins.
For Additional Information
Contact SmallCaps Online LLC -- 212-554-4158
Website: www.SmallCapsOnline.com
Sources for Additional Information
The following are website addresses offering related
information, and links to other sources of information.
The information in this report has been obtained from
sources that we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy
or completeness. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes
a solicitation by SmallCaps Online LLC for the purchase or sale of
any securities. SmallCaps Online LLC has performed investment banking,
consulting or other services for or may solicit investment banking, consulting
or other business from, AMBI Inc. SmallCaps Online LLC or persons
associated with SmallCaps Online LLC may at anytime be long or short
any of the securities referred to herein and may make purchases or sales
thereof while this report is in circulation or posted on the SmallCaps Online LLC website at www.SmallCapsOnline.com.
This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reproduced without prior
permission from SmallCaps Online LLC. SmallCaps Online LLC
is not responsible for the contents of this document that is intended for
electronic transmission and could be thus subjected to tampering or alteration.
Copyright © 1999 by SmallCaps Online LLC. All rights reserved.
|